Game-by-game breakdown of outcomes when RPI is in the tournament
This page lists the number of outcomes for each result of each game when RPI is in the tournament. For each game, the number represents the number of in-the-tournament outcomes that RPI would have remaining if that result occurred. The result with the greatest number of outcomes is the preferred; the disparity between the numbers of outcomes illustrates how important that game is to RPI. No KRACH weighting has been performed. Games that have gone final will have only one 100% result. Any game that is missing a result represents a case where RPI cannot make the tournament if that (missing) result occurs. There are currently no missing results -- no single result can spell doom for Rensselaer.
Total outcomes where RPI is in the tournament: 4886 out of 98304.
Results following both WCHA Quarterfinals.
AHA Semi #1
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Mercyhurst defeats Connecticut | 2628 | 53.79% | 51.05% |
| Connecticut defeats Mercyhurst | 2258 | 46.21% | 48.95% |
AHA Semi #2
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Canisius defeats Niagara | 1038 | 21.24% | 8.63% |
| Niagara defeats Canisius | 3848 | 78.76% | 91.37% |
AHA Final
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Mercyhurst defeats Canisius | 282 | 5.77% | 2.33% |
| Mercyhurst defeats Niagara | 291 | 5.96% | 3.42% |
| Canisius defeats Mercyhurst | 278 | 5.69% | 2.04% |
| Canisius defeats Connecticut | 244 | 4.99% | 1.85% |
| Niagara defeats Mercyhurst | 1777 | 36.37% | 43.26% |
| Niagara defeats Connecticut | 1548 | 31.68% | 41.07% |
| Connecticut defeats Canisius | 234 | 4.79% | 2.42% |
| Connecticut defeats Niagara | 232 | 4.75% | 3.62% |
CCHA Semi #1
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Michigan defeats Miami | 825 | 16.88% | 14.19% |
| Miami defeats Michigan | 4061 | 83.12% | 85.81% |
CCHA Semi #2
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Notre Dame defeats Ohio State | 2250 | 46.05% | 60.42% |
| Ohio State defeats Notre Dame | 2636 | 53.95% | 39.58% |
CCHA Final
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Notre Dame defeats Michigan | 643 | 13.16% | 12.35% |
| Notre Dame defeats Miami | 864 | 17.68% | 25.25% |
| Miami defeats Ohio State | 1974 | 40.40% | 31.47% |
| Miami defeats Notre Dame | 683 | 13.98% | 22.14% |
| Ohio State defeats Miami | 540 | 11.05% | 6.95% |
| Ohio State defeats Michigan | 61 | 1.25% | 0.62% |
| Michigan defeats Ohio State | 61 | 1.25% | 0.54% |
| Michigan defeats Notre Dame | 60 | 1.23% | 0.67% |
ECAC Semi #1
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Yale defeats Union | 3524 | 72.12% | 68.29% |
| Union defeats Yale | 1362 | 27.88% | 31.71% |
ECAC Semi #2
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Brown defeats Quinnipiac | 1844 | 37.74% | 24.66% |
| Quinnipiac defeats Brown | 3042 | 62.26% | 75.34% |
ECAC Final
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Yale defeats Brown | 1084 | 22.19% | 15.55% |
| Yale defeats Quinnipiac | 1105 | 22.62% | 18.30% |
| Quinnipiac defeats Yale | 1074 | 21.98% | 31.12% |
| Quinnipiac defeats Union | 427 | 8.74% | 17.89% |
| Union defeats Brown | 445 | 9.11% | 5.18% |
| Union defeats Quinnipiac | 436 | 8.92% | 8.03% |
| Brown defeats Yale | 261 | 5.34% | 3.32% |
| Brown defeats Union | 54 | 1.11% | 0.61% |
ECAC Consolation
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Quinnipiac defeats Union | 998 | 20.43% | 14.61% |
| Quinnipiac defeats Yale | 164 | 3.36% | 2.37% |
| Brown defeats Union | 1632 | 33.40% | 24.04% |
| Brown defeats Yale | 293 | 6.00% | 3.92% |
| Yale defeats Quinnipiac | 168 | 3.44% | 0.75% |
| Yale defeats Brown | 281 | 5.75% | 9.61% |
| Yale ties Quinnipiac | 167 | 3.42% | 2.67% |
| Yale ties Brown | 289 | 5.91% | 12.39% |
| Union ties Quinnipiac | 173 | 3.54% | 3.50% |
| Union ties Brown | 272 | 5.57% | 15.54% |
| Union defeats Quinnipiac | 174 | 3.56% | 0.76% |
| Union defeats Brown | 275 | 5.63% | 9.85% |
HEA Semi #1
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Boston College defeats Boston University | 4086 | 83.63% | 86.52% |
| Boston University defeats Boston College | 800 | 16.37% | 13.48% |
HEA Semi #2
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Providence defeats Mass.-Lowell | 1079 | 22.08% | 19.32% |
| Mass.-Lowell defeats Providence | 3807 | 77.92% | 80.68% |
HEA Final
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Boston College defeats Providence | 752 | 15.39% | 14.98% |
| Boston College defeats Mass.-Lowell | 1565 | 32.03% | 33.60% |
| Mass.-Lowell defeats Boston College | 1553 | 31.78% | 35.08% |
| Mass.-Lowell defeats Boston University | 461 | 9.44% | 9.14% |
| Boston University defeats Mass.-Lowell | 228 | 4.67% | 2.87% |
| Boston University defeats Providence | 79 | 1.62% | 1.03% |
| Providence defeats Boston College | 216 | 4.42% | 2.86% |
| Providence defeats Boston University | 32 | 0.65% | 0.44% |
WCHA Quarter #1
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Colorado College defeats North Dakota | 4886 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
WCHA Semi #1
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Colorado College defeats Minnesota | 1867 | 38.21% | 21.30% |
| Minnesota defeats Colorado College | 3019 | 61.79% | 78.70% |
WCHA Quarter #2
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| Wisconsin defeats Minnesota State | 4886 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
WCHA Semi #2
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| St. Cloud State defeats Wisconsin | 4013 | 82.13% | 80.24% |
| Wisconsin defeats St. Cloud State | 873 | 17.87% | 19.76% |
WCHA Final
| Result | Outcomes | Percent | KRACH weighted |
|---|
|
| St. Cloud State defeats Colorado College | 1385 | 28.35% | 16.14% |
| St. Cloud State defeats Minnesota | 1398 | 28.61% | 25.42% |
| Minnesota defeats St. Cloud State | 1025 | 20.98% | 36.64% |
| Minnesota defeats Wisconsin | 415 | 8.49% | 13.31% |
| Colorado College defeats Wisconsin | 89 | 1.82% | 0.83% |
| Colorado College defeats St. Cloud State | 205 | 4.20% | 2.04% |
| Wisconsin defeats Colorado College | 188 | 3.85% | 2.29% |
| Wisconsin defeats Minnesota | 181 | 3.70% | 3.35% |